Bitcoin bull trap snapping shut

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Here’s the chart:

And the analogy that matters. You are passing through “return to normal” on your way to “fear”, “capitulation” and “despair”: 

It’s not complex. BTC is simply in the process of being shut down:

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It will intensify and BTC will all but disappear. Nations own fiat and they will defend their monopoly to the death. Allianz agrees in a new report:

  • Between December 2017 and February 2018, bitcoin’s price fell by around half, but this probably isn’t the end of the bitcoin bubble
  • Bitcoin meets all of the essential criteria for any asset-class bubble, including overtrading, a lack of regulation and the potential for swindles
  • Bitcoin has no intrinsic value: it is a claim on nobody – unlike sovereign bonds, equities or paper money – and doesn’t generate any income
  • We don’t view bitcoin as a currency due to its high transaction costs, tremendous price volatility and inability to be a true store of value
  • Despite our concerns about bitcoin, its underlying blockchain technology has merit – particularly its ability to reduce financial-transaction cost
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.