Here’s the chart:
And the analogy that matters. You are passing through “return to normal” on your way to “fear”, “capitulation” and “despair”:
It’s not complex. BTC is simply in the process of being shut down:
- ATO warns
- Google bans ICO ads
- G20 to apply AML to crypto
- Mt Gox liquidation
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It will intensify and BTC will all but disappear. Nations own fiat and they will defend their monopoly to the death. Allianz agrees in a new report:
- Between December 2017 and February 2018, bitcoin’s price fell by around half, but this probably isn’t the end of the bitcoin bubble
- Bitcoin meets all of the essential criteria for any asset-class bubble, including overtrading, a lack of regulation and the potential for swindles
- Bitcoin has no intrinsic value: it is a claim on nobody – unlike sovereign bonds, equities or paper money – and doesn’t generate any income
- We don’t view bitcoin as a currency due to its high transaction costs, tremendous price volatility and inability to be a true store of value
- Despite our concerns about bitcoin, its underlying blockchain technology has merit – particularly its ability to reduce financial-transaction cost