MinRes hoses FMG price hopes

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Blow me down with a feather, from MinRes:

For future reference, when assessing the economic impact, by my calculations 58% discounts at this level reduce Australia’s net iron ore export price by $4 per tonne. Given the rebound in shipping rates to $7-8 that means you need to reduce the CFR spot price by $11-12 to reach the comparable Budget forecasting figure. With un-adjusted prices today at $73, the Budget outlook price of $55 is still comfortably in the black but only by $7 or so.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.