Are 2018 state elections a risk for Turnbull or Shorten?

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From Poll Bludger:

With a brace of state elections on the horizon, and a long way left to run for the Section 44 saga, Australia faces a busy electoral calendar in the year ahead, with a number of pitfalls looming for Prime Minister and Opposition Leader alike.

Two state elections are in store for March — in South Australia on March 17, and Tasmania either on the same date or a fortnight earlier — followed by a Victorian election on November 24, which is already exerting an outsized influence on the calculations of certain figures in the federal government.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.