Capital Economics: Aussie house prices to stall and fall

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Via Domainfax:

Sydney and Melbourne house prices appear to be around 25 per cent to 30 per cent overvalued and housing market risks are concentrated in those cities, Capital Economics’ team says.

While taking a look at the possibility of whether housing is generally overvalued across the country, the economists noted that, away from Sydney and Melbourne, once a structural decline in interest rates over the past 40 years is taken into account, in most capital cities housing is “hardly overvalued at at.”

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.