Is oil about to crash?

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Via the AFR:

The chance of crude oil prices slumping to $US30-$US35 a barrel for several years, sending the global economy into crisis and multiple producers into bankruptcy, has emerged as a real threat, according to one of the world’s leading forecasters.

Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of respected energy consultancy FGE, said much higher US production growth was combining with a recovery in production in Libya and Nigeria, and the start-up of a massive field in Kazakhstan, to cancel out the effects of production cutbacks by the rest of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.