Daily iron ore price update (ports Everest)

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Iron ore price charts for June 12, 2017:

Tianjin benchmark was down 20 cents over the long weekend to $54.40 (down 80 then back up 60). Paper is trying and failing rally. Steel is only correcting slowly. Coking coal remains under pressure. CISA steel output for late May fell -3% to 1.79mt and is back in reasonable ranges.

The big one today is port stocks which poured on another 3.6mt last week to 140.1mt and are now mounting towards Everest peaks. Those arguing that this OK because steel output is so high so the “days of use” measure is reasonable are missing the point. Steel output is being inflated by the closure of induction furnaces and the shifting use of scrap into blast furnaces. The main point to take from climbing port stocks is that, for time being at least and maybe permanently, underlying iron ore demand is just not there despite high steel output.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.