Via Macquarie:
Thermal coal: A strong JFY settlement for producers while spot weakens
After signs of an initial deal last week, the JFY annual settlement for thermal coal has finally been agreed between Glencore and Tohoku Electric. Given the backdrop of rapidly falling spot prices, the $84.97/t FOB Australia benchmark is not only up 38% YoY in USD terms, but also above the initial deals agreed in March by some of the smaller suppliers into Japan ($80-84/t FOB). This should be viewed as a very healthy price for producers to lock in for a twelve-month period.