Sunday Chartfest May 14, 2017

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Another collection gleaned from a week wading through Twitter, a load of media articles and research, with a lead off on the budget. 

Australia’s 2017 Budget

The forecast incomings

The Balances & Assumptions

The voyage to a Budget Surplus…….

Mining Investment and Exports

Net debt forecasts and their evolution

AUSTRALIA BANKS & MACRO and NEW ZEALAND

Australian banks and their stupendous growth

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CPI & House Prices (look familiar?)

The stresses they faced during the GFC

The estimated impact of the budget levy on the big 5

10 Year CPI (Creamed for Education, Health & Houses)

FIRB & Real Estate 2015-16

Australian Household Consumption Evolution

DFA Household Confidence

Interest only lending and Australian mortgages

DFA Australian mortgage stressed localities

Kiwi Population Ponzi

Aussie Bonds

Australian Foreign Investment change 2011-2016 (why Belgium, Luxembourg, Bermuda?)

Household Savings – past and projected (mortgages and non trade-able gouging?)

Return to budget surplus forecasts (and actuals)

Wage Price Index forecasts 

 

 

 

 

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CHINA

China Debt/GDP…..

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China Shadow Banks Growth

Chinese 10Yr Yields

China CPI

China Credit Growth

Chinese Exports & Imports

China FAI

China Liquidity Support

China Short Term Rates 1

China Short Term Rates 2

China loans & deposits

China Offshore purchases

 

 

 

 

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ASIA

Aging Impact on GDP – with and without migration

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Japan Employment & Wages

Asian Bonds & QE

North Korea coal to China

 

 

 

 

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AMERICAS

United States CPI

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United States recession probability

United States retail sales

United States Health Insurance

US Changes in Infrastructure Spending by State 2000-2014

Prime working age Americans

US Auto sales and Loans

Changes in US CPI factors over time

 

 

 

 

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EUROPE

House Prices on a tear – Netherlands

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Primary Surplus Europe

Selected Euro Manufacturing

Industrial Production & New Manufacturing Orders PMI – France

Labour underutilisation – Eurozone

Re-Nationalising sentiment – United Kingdom

UK Income tax – top 1% and adults paying

Hiring & Firing in Greece

Implications of Soft and Hard Brexit

Sovereign debt – Spanish and Italian banks

UK FDI and financial services

UK income distribution (and the idea of raising taxes on those earning more than 80K is Marxism?)

Youth unemployment – Euro nations

 

 

 

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COMMODITIES

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Financialised Thermal Coal

Cocoa takes a kicking

Silver

Deepwater crude cost

Global Vegetable Oil

Global Wheat Production

Wheat stockpiles

Hazelnut Production

Liquid Fuels demand growth

New LNG projects by size and start date

Energy discoveries since 2015

Future production Oil & Gas US & Asia

OPEC Compliance

OPEC Production 1Q 2017

 

 

 

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CAPITAL MARKETS

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Bond market sentiment

Bond funds and Equities Funds since the GFC

Global Equity Volatility

The rise of the non-banks

Speculation in various asset classes

 

 

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GLOBAL MACRO

Global Income Distribution

Growth Projection IMF

Effective Manufacturing Tariffs – Major Economies

China & US Manufacturing PMI

Chinese credit growth in relation to other recent credit crash phenomena…

China outbound investment 2005-2016

Corporate Leverage

Foreign Value Added to Exports 2011 (…and are we going backwards?)

Global Business Confidence

Evolving Forecasts – Global Growth

Household debt – Various Nations

Household Incomes US and EU 1991-2010

Middle Income Houses – US and selected EU

Household Income Growth since 1980 – selected developed nations

Per Capita Income at Working Age Population Peak – selected nations

Travel and Tourism reliance

Global GDP per square kilometre

 

 

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…and Furthermore…

The cost of a ‘Cheap night out’ – various global cities….

Credit to GDP (14 developed world nations) since 1870

Doubling of GDP Per Capita – selected nations

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Pharmaceutical spend 2014 – selected developed nations

Global Inequality

Poverty Reduction – selected developed nations

Global Income Distribution over time

GDP over time by region

Government School Spending % of GDP 2013

Greenhouse Emissions 1990-2015

Global Holiday Destinations by Visitors

Economies Larger than California

Low paying college majors in the US

Urban concentration

Social Housing – various nations

The Starbucks index

Mars exploration history