Sunday Chartfest May 14, 2017

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Another collection gleaned from a week wading through Twitter, a load of media articles and research, with a lead off on the budget. 

Australia’s 2017 Budget

The forecast incomings

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The Balances & Assumptions

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The voyage to a Budget Surplus…….

Mining Investment and Exports

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Net debt forecasts and their evolution

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AUSTRALIA BANKS & MACRO and NEW ZEALAND

Australian banks and their stupendous growth

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CPI & House Prices (look familiar?)

The stresses they faced during the GFC

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The estimated impact of the budget levy on the big 5

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10 Year CPI (Creamed for Education, Health & Houses)

FIRB & Real Estate 2015-16

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Australian Household Consumption Evolution

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DFA Household Confidence

Interest only lending and Australian mortgages

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DFA Australian mortgage stressed localities

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Kiwi Population Ponzi

Aussie Bonds

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Australian Foreign Investment change 2011-2016 (why Belgium, Luxembourg, Bermuda?)

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Household Savings – past and projected (mortgages and non trade-able gouging?)

Return to budget surplus forecasts (and actuals)

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Wage Price Index forecasts 

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CHINA

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China Debt/GDP…..

China Shadow Banks Growth

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Chinese 10Yr Yields

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China CPI

China Credit Growth

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Chinese Exports & Imports

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China FAI

China Liquidity Support

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China Short Term Rates 1

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China Short Term Rates 2

China loans & deposits

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China Offshore purchases

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ASIA

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Aging Impact on GDP – with and without migration

Japan Employment & Wages

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Asian Bonds & QE

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North Korea coal to China

 

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AMERICAS

United States CPI

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United States recession probability

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United States retail sales

United States Health Insurance

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US Changes in Infrastructure Spending by State 2000-2014

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Prime working age Americans

US Auto sales and Loans

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Changes in US CPI factors over time

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EUROPE

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House Prices on a tear – Netherlands

Primary Surplus Europe

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Selected Euro Manufacturing

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Industrial Production & New Manufacturing Orders PMI – France

Labour underutilisation – Eurozone

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Re-Nationalising sentiment – United Kingdom

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UK Income tax – top 1% and adults paying

Hiring & Firing in Greece

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Implications of Soft and Hard Brexit

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Sovereign debt – Spanish and Italian banks

UK FDI and financial services

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UK income distribution (and the idea of raising taxes on those earning more than 80K is Marxism?)

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Youth unemployment – Euro nations

 

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COMMODITIES

Financialised Thermal Coal

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Cocoa takes a kicking

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Silver

Deepwater crude cost

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Global Vegetable Oil

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Global Wheat Production

Wheat stockpiles

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Hazelnut Production

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Liquid Fuels demand growth

New LNG projects by size and start date

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Energy discoveries since 2015

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Future production Oil & Gas US & Asia

OPEC Compliance

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OPEC Production 1Q 2017

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CAPITAL MARKETS

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Bond market sentiment

Bond funds and Equities Funds since the GFC

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Global Equity Volatility

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The rise of the non-banks

Speculation in various asset classes

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GLOBAL MACRO

Global Income Distribution

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Growth Projection IMF

Effective Manufacturing Tariffs – Major Economies

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China & US Manufacturing PMI

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Chinese credit growth in relation to other recent credit crash phenomena…

China outbound investment 2005-2016

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Corporate Leverage

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Foreign Value Added to Exports 2011 (…and are we going backwards?)

Global Business Confidence

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Evolving Forecasts – Global Growth

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Household debt – Various Nations

Household Incomes US and EU 1991-2010

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Middle Income Houses – US and selected EU

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Household Income Growth since 1980 – selected developed nations

Per Capita Income at Working Age Population Peak – selected nations

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Travel and Tourism reliance

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Global GDP per square kilometre

 

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…and Furthermore…

The cost of a ‘Cheap night out’ – various global cities….

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Credit to GDP (14 developed world nations) since 1870

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Doubling of GDP Per Capita – selected nations

Pharmaceutical spend 2014 – selected developed nations

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Global Inequality

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Poverty Reduction – selected developed nations

Global Income Distribution over time

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GDP over time by region

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Government School Spending % of GDP 2013

Greenhouse Emissions 1990-2015

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Global Holiday Destinations by Visitors

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Economies Larger than California

Low paying college majors in the US

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Urban concentration

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Social Housing – various nations

The Starbucks index

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Mars exploration history

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