Housing Affordability: The Turnbull Government’s un-Australian Dream

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Below is a guest post from MB reader, Michael Clanchy:

Introduction

Naivety is not a pre-possessing trait in adults. In fact, ingenuousness can be culpable ignorance. So the time for pretence is over. It is abundantly clear that the Liberal-National Government loses no sleep at all about housing affordability for the broader population of Australia.

Here is how and why the LNP don’t care. The millions negatively affected have only two choices; to get over it, or to get politically active.

High and rising housing prices, particularly in the bubble markets of Sydney and Melbourne, impact on a broad range of Australians. I won’t repeat here the detailed facts and figures of inflated residential housing markets. This data is reported regularly in daily papers and is broadly understood. Suffice to say, ownership rates, especially among younger generations and lower-income earners are down, “rental stress” and inadequate and dysfunctional housing matches for families are worryingly high, and the numbers of homeless and those in insecure and transient shelter options continue to grow.

An Unfortunate Quip

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A clue to the underlying indifference of the Liberal National Party (LNP) to the issue of housing affordability was poorly hidden in a throwaway quip by the Liberal Party’s now elder statesman, former PM John Howard. When asked about rapidly escalating house prices in Sydney many years ago in 2003, he triumphantly boasted that he was never stopped in the street by home owners complaining about the value of their house increasing.

Undoubtedly Mr Howard was speaking the truth. With about 70% of Australian householders as owner-occupiers at the time, he was cynically dismissing the plight of the housing excluded and parading his knowledge of the mathematical law of electoral success. It was unworthy, in-house humour (no pun intended) for those who could afford to laugh about it.

Time and circumstance have moved on. The housing bubble has dramatically expanded and the propertied class, high income earners and high net worth individuals remain well represented within the constituency of the LNP. The Liberal Party itself is seen as having strong links to the property industry. Treasurer Morrison was formerly a research and policy officer for the Property Council of Australia, the national lobby group for property owners, investors and developers. Further, the New South Wales Branch of the LNP recently attracted much unwanted publicity from the Independent Commission against Corruption for being the beneficiary of unlawful political donations, circuitously channelled from those with property development interests.

Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax Discount Policy

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The real objectives and intentions of the LNP Government for housing in Australia are on full display in its current housing policy.

Excess demand from property investors has been a key driver in ramping up property prices over the last 15 years. This vigorous investor participation has come at great expense to aspiring owner-occupiers, particularly to the first home buyer.

To temper this unfair competition from investors, Labor took to the last election equitable and bold policies to eliminate (prospectively) negative gearing tax benefits on all established housing and to halve the generous Capital Gains Tax discount on investment property from 50% to 25%. The fierce reaction by PM Turnbull and Treasurer Morrison to Labor’s proposals was to defend the status quo of these tax concessions for investors.

Purpose and Function of Housing

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The message of this LNP policy could not have been clearer. The LNP priority is not affordable housing for all citizens. Affordable housing is not fundamentally seen as essential community infrastructure to meet the needs of families for secure, functional and satisfying lives. Rather, housing is viewed as another wealth and investment chip. It is, first and foremost, an asset class for holding or trading. The social purpose of housing, to provide shelter and security for the population, has thus been subsumed by the LNP under a “higher” purpose of a purely economic nature.

A Federal Housing Ministry

An even clearer sign that the Government cares minimally about affordable housing for its citizens is its ongoing refusal to re-establish a Federal Ministry of Housing. The highly symbolic refusal to appoint al Housing Minister is stubborn denial that the Federal Government controls many policy levers that shape the provision of housing across Australia. In effect, this Federal Government is declaring that it will not be responsible nor held accountable for high-level planning, coordination or oversight of housing outcomes for its people.

When Treasurer Morrison addressed the Urban Development Institute of Australia in late October this year, he called upon State Governments to address housing affordability by increasing the supply of land release and reforming land planning processes. His attention to this problem may have been welcome in itself but refers only to one part of a multifaceted phenomenon. His call was widely seen as a cynical tactic to divert attention from his own Government’s breathtaking inaction in the housing areas which it controls.

Proof Positive of Lack of Interest

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It is important to understand that the unaffordability affecting much of the housing market becomes most visible and magnified at the less competitive, lower socio-economic levels of society. Proof positive of the LNP’s lack of interest in the housing affordability issue is to be found within their Federal Government Budgets from 2014 to 2016. Here we find savage funding cuts in Federal-State funding arrangements for social/public housing and the construction of low cost rental housing under the National Rental Affordability Scheme. National Partnership Funding for approximately 180 homelessness services serving more than 80,000 people also expires in June 2017, without any commitment to ongoing funding.

Conclusion

The LNP Government’s largely “hands-off” approach to the housing market, albeit with specific interventions of incentives to favour the investor class, represents the same, tired, neoliberal model. This housing market approach will progressively fail for larger and larger sections of economically vulnerable Australians while the privileged classes will entrench their wealth and control over property, especially in the capital cities.

The universal dream of home ownership is fading as a permanent rental class expands. And those on the lowest economic rungs will face greater rental housing insecurity and the risk of homelessness.

The writing is on the wall for all those who wish to read it.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.