What’s the hurry to call the commodities bottom?

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There’s a mad rush on to call the commodities bottom. From Domainfax:

“We don’t necessarily think we’re at the start of a huge bull market,” says Julian Babarczy, head of Australian equities at Regal Funds Management. “But we do feel like the bottom of the cycle has been reached and that we’re back in a more traditional commodity cycle where we’ll have volatility based on short-term supply and demand signals.”

“After the heady days of the super-cycle upswing, when rising prices supported profitability almost irrespective of costs, the past couple of years have seen a clear focus on cost reduction,” writes Paul Bloxham, chief economist at HSBC Australia, who expects further supply consolidation and solid demand growth to drive modest prices rises in coming quarters.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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