Moody’s warns APRA to tighten macroprudential

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From Moody’s:

Data released by CoreLogic last week show that activity in the Australian housing market – after moderating in late 2015 and early 2016 – is showing signs of re-acceleration, led by strong price growth in Sydney during April and May. At the same time, household debt/ income ratios continue to rise. These trends are unfolding against a back drop of an already-high level of household indebtedness and elevated overall leverage in the economy, and are credit negative for Australian banks – particularly in the context of their very high ratings. Whilst current stable employment conditions and low interest rates support the quality of bank housing portfolios, high housing prices and consumer leverage do raise the sensitivity of the banks to downside risk in the housing market.

House prices have picked up again …

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.