Macquarie: Macroprudential squeezing mortgages hard

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From Mac Bank:

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 Our mystery shopping highlighted that banks have tightened their lending standards over the last 12 months. We believe these changes combined with further risk of tightening (i.e., interest-only loans to owner-occupiers) will likely result in ongoing pressure on the outlook for banks’ volume growth. Moreover, in a more constrained growth environment, banks appear to be aggressively competing for higher quality lending, putting pressure on returns. Our analysis highlighted that based on the prevailing level of discounting the front book mortgage returns are ~14%, well below the back-book of ~30%.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.