Welcome to the commodities bubble of 2016

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What is the world going to do with Chinese savings? From the millennium the answer seemed simple, stick ’em in US bonds. But that then led to overly low interest rates for the business cycle and a gargantuan property and construction bubble across the developed world.

After the GFC it seemed OK again, this time as Chinese savings were deployed at home but, again, the flood of capital was so torrential that another huge bubble formed, this time in China construction.

As that began to fade, the dam of yield-obsessed savings broke over shares and blew another classic bubble that is still deflating, as well as flooding into far flung developed city property markets, in which multiple bubbles have formed.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.