Fresh from Essential:
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Total Last week19/4/16 2 weeks ago12/4/16 4 weeks ago29/3/16 Election 7 Sep 13 Liberal 36% 38% 39% 39% National 4% 4% 3% 3% Total Liberal/National 40% 42% 42% 43% 45.6% Labor 39% 36% 35% 38% 33.4% Greens 10% 11% 11% 9% 8.6% Palmer United Party 1% 1% 1% 1% 5.5% Other/Independent 11% 10% 10% 10% 6.9% 2 party preferred Liberal National 48% 50% 50% 50% 53.5% Labor 52% 50% 50% 50% 46.5% NB: Sample = 1,740. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.