Time for Coalition panic as Essential sees Labor landslide

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Fresh from Essential:

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week19/4/16 2 weeks ago12/4/16 4 weeks ago29/3/16   Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 36% 38% 39% 39%
National 4% 4% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 40%   42% 42% 43%   45.6%
Labor 39%   36% 35% 38%   33.4%
Greens 10% 11% 11% 9% 8.6%
Palmer United Party 1% 1% 1% 1% 5.5%
Other/Independent 11% 10% 10% 10% 6.9%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 48% 50% 50% 50% 53.5%
Labor 52% 50% 50% 50% 46.5%

NB: Sample = 1,740. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.