Fade the rally

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China joined the ECB with more easing late Friday with another 25bps rate cut and 50bps RRR cut, predictably, US stocks injected the drugs and rallied further.

MB is not of the view that this is another leg higher for the business cycle. Rather, as argued in recent times it is this:

One should simply accept that the Chimerican phenomenon was the driver of the post-millennial boom in the global economy. As China supercharged its growth via net exports to the United States, hung upon a currency peg which, in turn, fed an enormous capital injection into US bonds and therefore low interest rates, high asset prices and over-consumption, the two economies boomed and external imbalances were ignored.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.