One really dumb iron ore bet

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From Bloomberg:

Iron ore will probably stage a modest rebound next year as China steps up efforts to support the economy including further cuts in interest rates, according to Prestige Economics LLC, which also expects a weaker yuan to support record exports of steel.

“China’s going to need to do more economic stimulus,” Jason Schenker, president of the Austin, Texas-based firm, said in an interview. Prices will trade between $58 and $68 a metric ton next year, he said by phone. That compares with $53.74 last week, as of Oct. 15, and an average of about $58 so far this year.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.