The Brent oil price has hit a wall, down another 1.6% last night to $47.90 as I write. The main culprit was US inventories which boomed:
At this rate the US will run out of storage capacity long before the refinery maintenance season is over. Excess oil will be dumped and prices crash. Inventories are in a race with falling US production, from Reuters:
Drillinginfo, a consultancy with proprietary data, told Reuters well productivity has fallen or stabilized in the top three U.S. shale fields – the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford of Texas and the Bakken of North Dakota – since July or August.