Origin not waving, drowning

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From the ASX:

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Origin says it is undertaking “cash preservation” to preserve its credit rating. It has also cut it dividend for 2016/17and will sell $800 million in assets, aiming to reduce its debt burden to $9 billion by the end of FY17. The raising is at, wait for it, a 34% discount to the closing price at a disastrous $4 per share.

For what it’s worth, any fundie looking at this $2.5 billion raising should consider that the APLNG project will never see a return on its capital, is at intensifying risk of seeing a return on a cash basis only far into the future and is at severe risk of contract default or re-negotiation in its underpinning Sinopec supply contract.

$2.5 billion is not enough and won’t be the last.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.