Brent oil was hit 2.5% to $47.41 last night as commodity carnage weighed. If it breaks below the $47 range then it’s on for a retest of the $43 lows:
That looks more likely than not today. There was not much broader news but a nice chart from Reuters shows how the pressure on shale remains high despite the rebound in the oil price:
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We are certainly shaping up for an accelerated shakeout in US energy which ought to be price bullish. The problem is that same wider shakeout in all commodities is hammering global growth just as hard and demand is also in jeopardy. I more or less expect the latter to win out as emerging markets slide on.