Farewell commodity super cycle

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Here is the Thompson/Jeffries CRB index (of commodities including energy, softs, metals):

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The dream is over. We are now back at 2003 levels and very likely to keep falling. In technical terms the chart exhibits an enormous bearish descending triangle on the verge of breakdown (like so many of the component parts). The index does not include bulks but they look much the same.

Moreover, the fundamentals are shot. There were three reasons for the boom:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.