Gittins defends Treasury blundering

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From Ross Gittins today, the campaign of national ignorance returns:

People keep asking me whether the budget’s forecasts for the economy are “credible”. Of course they are. But that’s not saying much. And here’s a tip: don’t believe those saying that Treasury’s forecasts are way too optimistic or way too pessimistic. They wouldn’t know.

Treasury and the Reserve Bank – whose forecasts are essentially a joint exercise – put an enormous amount of time and expertise into their forecasts, far more than any other outfit you could name.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.