Daily iron ore price update (new low)

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Here are the iron ore charts for February 9, 2015:

234456 4567 3 4444
3456

Another new low for Qingdao, which is heading for the 50s if I’m not mistaken. Benchmark fell 67 cents to $61.56. Dalian six month futures are still firm within a bearish descending triangle pattern. A new low as well for 12 month swaps which are pricing Fortescue out the market with alacrity, but the first day of no falls in rebar since…wait for it…mid December! Port iron ore inventories fell another 1.2 million tonnes last week. Some will see this as bullish and it will be if some sudden and very large stimulus arrives. In the absence of that, which is the strong base case, it’s bearish in that it is showing just how gloomy steel mills are and how confident they are about the availability of abundant real time iron ore.

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Texture from Reuters:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.