Here are the iron ore charts for July 11, 2014:
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Paper markets went nowhere, except rebar futures which were up a little and at a new high for the move. Physical went nowhere, except BDI cape which went down another 4% and is signaling the end of a very weak restock. Port stocks fell slightly but are on a firm high plateau.
And that’s it. There is no recovery happening, nor coming, in this data. It is becalmed, in equilibrium, and anyone telling you otherwise is probably selling you something. From Reuters: