Yet more iron ore?

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From Reuters:

China’s Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd (Baosteel) (600019.SS) and Australia’s Aurizon Holdings Ltd (AZJ.AX) launched a $1 billion bid for an Australian resources firm in a move that could break the stranglehold of giant miners Rio Tinto (RIO.AX)(RIO.L) and BHP Billiton (BHP.AX)(BLT.L) on the country’s iron ore exports.

Monday’s unsolicited A$1.14 billion ($1.06 billion) offer to take over Aquila Resources Ltd (AQA.AX) could open up a new Australian iron ore export region to supply Asian steelmakers, jumpstarting the $7 billion West Pilbara Iron Ore project (WPIO), half-owned by Aquila.

Baosteel’s move would be the biggest foray into an undeveloped iron ore project in Australia by a Chinese investor since CITIC Pacific (0267.HK) ran into massive cost blowouts and delays on the $10 billion Sino Iron project, which started producing in 2013.

In a statement, Baosteel, China’s largest listed steelmaker and 20 percent owner of Aquila, and rail company Aurizon said they will offer A$3.40 in cash per share, a 39 percent premium to Aquila’s last closing price. Including Baosteel’s existing stake, the offer values the target at A$1.42 billion in total.

The project would produce 30 million tonnes per annum. It looks like more late cycle lunacy to me.

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BTW, rebar futures are down a touch today and Dalian futures are flat.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.