Newspoll, Roy Morgan hammer Coaltion

The big move down in Coalition polls continues with the big boys today. Newspoll has swung very sharply against the Government 47-53 on two-party preferred:

Roy Morgan is even worse at 45-55 as woman completely abandon the party:

If a Federal Election were held today the ALP would win easily (55%, up 3% over the past two weeks) over the L-NP (45%, down 3%) according to today’s multi-mode Morgan Poll.

This Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted over the last two weekends (April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,077 Australian electors aged 18+. The L-NP primary vote is 37.5% (down 1% to the lowest since the Election) now just ahead of the ALP 37% (up 3%).

Among the minor parties Greens support is 12% (down 1%), support for the Palmer United Party (PUP) is 5.5% (up 0.5%) and support for Independents/Others is 8% (down 1.5%).

Analysis by Gender

Analysis by Gender shows that ALP support remains strongest amongst women with the ALP 59% (up 4%) well ahead of the L-NP 41% (down 4%) on a two-party preferred basis. Support amongst men is much closer with the ALP 50.5% (up 1.5%) ahead of the L-NP on 49.5% (down 1.5%).

Analysis by States

The ALP leads on a two-party preferred basis in five of the six Australian States. New South Wales: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%, Victoria: ALP 58.5% cf. L-NP 41.5%, Queensland: ALP 54.5% cf. L-NP 45.5%, South Australia: ALP 59% cf. L-NP 41% and Tasmania: ALP 58.5% cf. L-NP 41.5%.

However in Western Australia the L-NP (51.5%) leads the ALP (48.5%).

And the post-Rudd collapse in trust in government rolls on,,.

The punters know something is rotten in the state of Denmark…