Kouk bets Joye on house price crash

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From the SMH blog:

Christopher Joye’s warning that house prices near record levels could be in for a major correction of up to 20 per cent is definitely causing a stir. Hundreds of comments have been added to the article, which is by far today’s top rating yarn.

In what’s shaping up as a bit of a fashion around housing market forecasts – think Rory Robertson sending Steven Keen on a hike up Mt Kosciuszko – it’s also prompted economist Stephen ‘The Kouk’ Koukoulas to offer Joye a cash bet with odd of 10-1: if prices fall 20 per cent or more over the next three years, Koukoulas will pay Joye $10,000, and if they don’t he will get just $1000.

In a second part to the bet, Koukoulas will pay $1000 if house prices rise 10 per cent or more over the next three years, and will receive $1000 if they fail to rise by that much.

Following their correspondence on Twitter, it’s not looking like Joye has accepted the bet.

It’s a natural evolution of our bubble economy that the public sphere be increasingly clogged with such speculative drivel. Here is the Twitter exchange:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.