Investor mortgages fall in Janaury

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By Leith van Onselen

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has just released housing finance data for the month of January, which registered no seasonally-adjusted change in the number of owner-occupied finance commitments over the month:

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The number of owner-occupied housing finance commitments excluding refinancings registered a seasonally-adjusted 0.5% increase over the month to be tracking 7% above the five-year moving average level. However, December’s figures were revised down by 2.5%, which flattered this month’s result. The number of commitments were also up 14.3% on January 2013 (see next chart).

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The average loan size rose 0.2% over the month and was up 5.3% over the year. The below charts show the series on a 3-month moving average basis (in order to smooth volatility). Note the recent spike in average loan size after falling during the beginning of last year.

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First home buyer (FHB) commitments fell by a non-seasonally adjusted 12.8% in January and represented just 13.2% of total owner-occupied commitments. They were also flat over the year (see below charts).

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Finally, for the first time in months investor finance commitments moderated, falling by 3.3% (seasonally-adjusted) in January, although they were up 29% over the year (see next chart).

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.