Mrs Watabane returns to Australian dollar

Advertisement
images

From the SMH:

The more than $70 billion a month Japan is spending to end deflation is feeding demand for the higher-yielding Aussie, threatening the Reserve Bank of Australia’s efforts to stimulate its economy.

Japanese investors bought 91.3 billion yen ($986 million) more Australian debt than they sold in July, the first overall additions since October and the largest in a year, official data show. The Australian dollar is poised for its biggest monthly surge versus the yen since January, outpacing all but the kiwi among 10 major developed currencies.

RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said this month a reduction of record-low interest rates remains possible and that a weaker currency would help an economy set for its slowest expansion in four years. Sustained easing by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve is fuelling a stronger Aussie that may force the RBA to add to 2.25 percentage points of cuts over two years, JPMorgan estimates.

“Investors are coming back to Australia,” said Hideo Shimomura, the chief fund investor who helps oversee about $60.3 billion at Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management. The huge outflows as Japanese investors sold Australian bonds from mid-2012 have “clearly stopped,” he said.

Most unfortunate!

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.