Find below the iron ore price update for August 15, 2013:
Rebar futures were flat. Capezise rates in the Baltic Dry are still rising strongly.
The direction from here is anybody’s guess. Is it the pause that refreshes or the end of the rally? In the past this kind of ramp would not stop as it heralded a big Chinese mill restock. Yet, as I’ve said before, mills have many reasons to not do that again this time. Recent Pilbara bottlenecks also appear to be easing.
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As I said yesterday, it’s as good a time for shorts as any.