Daily iron ore prices (doomsayer bird)

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Find below the iron ore price table for July 12, 2103:

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More strength on the restock. I hope you’ll notice that I’ve not been bearish on this move once it began. It’s the medium and long term that’s a problem. But for now we’re running:

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That’s a healthy double bottom. And rebar average too is sluggishly rising:

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Our swap/spread chart is not overly stretched:

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Capture

But ore/rebar spreads remain very wide:

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Chinese port stocks fell quite sharply last week as to 76.35 tonnes.

I maintain the view that this rally will struggle to breach $130 but you never know. Irrespective, it is a great opportunity to go short into the seasonal weakness of September. Chinese data this week may be important.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.