Daily iron ore price update (steel, steel everywhere)

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Find below the iron ore price table for June 28, 2013:

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And the charts:

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And rebar:

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The spreads are all normal:

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Capture

Chinese port inventories fell marginally last week to 74.9 million tonnes. And steel inventories remain very high.

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Which is where we find a little news flow with daily steel production rates still not falling. And from Xinhua:

A report posted on the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA)’s website on Monday said that a weak economic recovery, low demand,

high prices for raw materials and high steel output have caused an oversupply of steel products.

The report, which was compiled by the Laigang Group, a major iron and steelcorporation based in east China’s Shandong Province, said unfavorable industry conditions will remain in July, a slack season for the manufacturing industry.

Although an overall urbanization plan is expected to be reviewed in July, it is not likely to affect the iron and steel industry in the short-term, according to the report.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently cut its forecast for China’s 2013economic growth from 8 percent to 7.75 percent, indicating slower growth for thecountry’s economy, the report said.

However, figures from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that steel outputincreased by 11.3 percent year on year to 91.19 million tonnes in May. In the first five months of the year, steel product output rose 10.8 percent year on year to reach 426.16 million tonnes.

Meanwhile, the Complex Steel Price Index (CSPI) released by CISA dropped by 13.35 percent year on year to hit 101.83 by the end of May, down 3.71 percent from that of April.

The industry profit frate was only 0.23 percent in the first four months and 40 percentof large and medium-sized steel businesses suffered operational losses,

according to CISA.

Under such circumstances, steelmakers are trying to find ways to cope. He Wenbo,general manager of the Shanghai-based Baosteel Group, said developing high-techproducts is one of them.

The company has developed a type of steel called ultrafort steel that is thinner, lighterand stronger than traditional steel. A vehicle made out of ultrafort steel can travel farther on less gasoline while remaining safe to drive.

However, He said high-tech steel products that were once considered to have high value, such as ship sheet, auto sheet, steel tubing and silicon steel,

are also in a stateof oversupply due to excessive investment and fierce competition.

Wang Yifang, chairman of the Hebei Iron and Steel Group the group has worked to fine-tune its management to reduce costs.

The group is China’s largest crude steel producer, with over 69.2 million tonnes ofcrude steel produced last year, or 10 percent of the country’s total.

Xu Kuangdi, director of the Chinese Society for Metals, said the oversupply problem may take at least five to 10 years to be solved.

That’ll be a long decade for iron ore producers then.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.