Weekly poll aggregation

Wednesday, 22 May 2013

With a fresh Budget to assess, every polling house was in the field searching for a Budget bounce. And you would never read about it, but they found one. The combined message is one of a small bounce-let for the Government. (And this is where I feel a compelling need to utter the following mantra as a public service: don’t confuse correlation with causation. Just because some polls went up, it still could be noise, and even if its real it doesn’t mean the Budget made it happen).

About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.