ASX Shares Daily – October 25th

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By Chris Becker

Asian equity markets were all over the place today, but the ASX200 had a scratch day, finally finishing about 4 points up just above 4500 points. I’ll take a closer look at the bottom of the post including technical analysis of the bourse.

The Nikkei 225 had a big up day – up over 1% or 100 points but still under resistance at 9200, the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite were both off slightly, with the latter still playing the tune of a bull trap:

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The Aussie (AUD/USD) had a bullish day today, possibly building to a short term uptrend coming up to resistance for a possible breakout up to 1.05:

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The Euro came up again continuning its little whipsaw trade with the USD, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped:

Gold (USD) had an uptick too on USD weakness, but the short term downtrend continues in its tight channel with no sign of a reversal yet:

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Australian Stocks

No real winners except Telstra up 1% which is now coming up to resistance:

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In the ASX8 (the top four miners and banks), Rio Tinto (RIO) was the best – up 0.4% but not really moving anywhere, whilst Newcrest (NCM) continues to get hammered on the poor gold price, where it has decisively broken the $27 support level:

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As for the index itself, the KC Signal (a signal I developed to try to find turning points in overbought and oversold markets) that was triggered late last week continues to work, but we are still looking for a break of the uptrend line and the April high before getting the short shorts out to play. So for now this is a dip:

This free daily update should be read alongside Live Trades articles, published every morning at Macro Investor, and placed in context with the longer trends and macro drivers within the overall technical picture, where Former “Trading Week” readers will find it reborn as “Technicals“, published 8.30am each Monday morning at Macro Investor.

Chris Becker is an investment strategist at Macro Investor, Australia’s leading independent investment newsletter covering stocks, trades, property and fixed interest. A free 21-day trial is available at the site.

You can follow Chris on Twitter.

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