Links 7th August

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Global Macro:

  • The economic crisis will solve itself, climate change won’t. Financial Times. I agree.
  • July “was the only month in the last 400 in which European stocks, the German 10-year bund and gold rallied by more than 2.5%.” BCA Research via Buttonwood
  • But with Draghi keeping his powder dry, is Europe turning Japanese? Economist

Geopolitics

  • Syrian PM sacked, reported to defect. Al Jazeera
  • ‘Al Qaeda’ kills 45 in Yemen. AFP
  • 48 Iranians seized by rebels in Syria. Al Jazeera. Have Sunni extremists kidnapped Shia pilgrims, or have freedom fighters taken Revolutionary Guards?
  • Kremlin signs oil deal with Damascus. Moscow Times
  • Saudi Arabia goes to battle stations. Washington Post
  • Middle East heats up: And Obama does nothing. McCain, Liebermann and Graham
  • And tensions rise in the South China Sea. Wall Street Journal. Always wonder if this could escalate while the US is distracted elsewhere

United States

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  • CFTC silver manipulation investigation may be dropped. Chicago Tribune. You can go to ZeroHedge http://www.zerohedge.com/ to read the conspiracy theories.
  • Midwest heatwave hits fisheries. Wall Street Journal
  • Firms fear tax hikes on Congress debt impasse. NY Times. Tax hikes are the least of their worries…
  • Knight Capital given $400 million lifeline. Reuters.

Europe:

  • Germany’s Ökonomenstreit. Economist
  • And the Thomas Becket of that ideological war is Jens Weidmann. Financial Times
  • Meanwhile, in the battle for the ECB, Germany wants control. WSJ

Asia:

  • Is this Chinese sub-prime? Reuters
  • China’s political paralysis. Project Syndicate
  • But others are optimistic on Chinese reform. Eswar Prasad
  • And here’s some cause for optimism on Chinese growth: a falling RMB. Beyond Brics
  • So, are Chinese stocks at the bottom? Bloomberg. Chris Becker has more to say on this.
  • Un-incredible India. Financial Times
  • More links in the daily “China Links post”

Local:

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Interesting/Different: