Macro Investor: Harvesting Graincorp

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  • Notwithstanding its strong run to date, GNC still stands to gain in the soft-commodity bull market.
  • Better yields locally come as conditions worsen overseas, particularly in the US and Russia.
  • Demand for grains globally remains high, and especially from China where winter crop was poor.

Graincorp Ltd (GNC) provides grain industry related services, through bulk/grain handing and storage for growers, end users and marketing organizations. GNC also operates grain pools, provides transportation services, along with farming products and flour milling/mixing services.

GNC has been both a strong outperformer versus the market as a whole and against arguments that the soft commodity boom has run its course. The company has delivered a growing return on equity since the GFC and with its competition owned by foreign multinationals, GNC has also been a prize stock for many investors speculating on its attractions as a potential takeover target.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.