Consumer confidence bounces

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July Westpac/Melbourne Institute is out and shows a decent bounce, up 3.7%:

Year on year the picture is still subdued, though is up 6.8%:

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The internals are solid across the board:

This is more evidence that the interest rate cuts still have some effect in Australia. This confirms retail sales and the NAB survey which are indicating a thaw in spending. The question remains, of course, will it last? In my view, no, but probably a bit longer than the last few spikes given rates are now clearly stimulatory.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.