Australian Politics


No early election despite poll “bounce”

From The Australian just now: The Coalition’s bounce in the latest Newspoll demonstrates the government’s budget has “hit the mark” with voters, but Tony Abbott has “no instinct” for an election this year, Trade Minister Andrew Robb says. The well-received budget has lifted Tony Abbott’s approval rating to an eight-month high and put him back


Budget hits Government polls, or not

It’s bifurcation in post-Budget polling today with Newspoll showing deterioration for the Abbott Government despite The Australian’s best efforts to hide it: Voters have endorsed the Coal­ition’s second budget as the best in seven years, declaring it good for the economy, and four times more people than last year believe they will be personally better


Brick with eyes party to launch

I’ve cheered Lazo along with the best of them but the news today that former Palmer United Party senator Glenn Lazarus is to set up the Glenn Lazarus Team Party, A.K.A Brick with Eyes Party, I find more useful as a metaphor for times. Apparently Lazo will be charging into policy under the tag line “doing the hard yards


On early election clap trap

From Fairfax: During a morning television blitz on Wednesday, Mr Abbott also denied his big spending budget was a primer for an early election, insisting the next poll would be held around the “middle of next year”. Australia’s 2 million small businesses won a $5.5 billion bonanza in Tuesday’s federal budget, including the ability to claim an unlimited number of tax deductions for buying cars


Chan, Sukamaran dead, Abbott pulls ambassador

This is appalling: Australia will withdraw its ambassador to Indonesia following the execution of Andrew Chan and Myuran Sukumaran by firing squad overnight. “These executions are both cruel and unnecessary,” Mr Abbott said. “We respect Indonesia’s sovereignty but we do deplore what’s been done and this cannot be simply business as usual. For that reason,


Abbott support plumbs new lows

From Roy Morgan Research comes more bad news for Prime Minister Tony Abbott, although opposition leader, Bill Shorten, is on the nose as well: Former Liberal Party Leader Malcolm Turnbull is again clearly preferred as Liberal Leader by 38% of electors (up 2% since January 12-13, 2015) well ahead of Deputy Leader Julie Bishop 27%


RP Data weekly housing market update

Click to view Core Logic-RP Data’s latest weekly housing market update, which provides a useful snapshot of the housing market as at 26 April 2015. This week’s report includes: Latest weekly dwelling value results; Auction results & clearance rates; Latest median house & unit prices; Average time on market & vendor discounts; Mortgage market activity;


Abbott polls jump, crash

There’s a big poll divergence today for the Abbott Government today with Newspoll showing firming support: The latest Newspoll, taken exclusively for The Australian at the weekend, shows the Coalition has opened a five-point margin over Labor on primary vote to be ahead by 41 per cent to 36 per cent — its biggest lead


Barnett Budget bumbling trashes polls

From The Australian: The latest Newspoll, conducted exclusively for The Australian, shows Labor has a 52 per cent to 48 per cent lead over the Liberal-Nationals alliance on a two-party-preferred basis. WA is the next state due to hold an election, in March 2017, when Premier Colin Barnett will be seeking a third term after


Is Joe Hockey ready to shape the global iron ore market?

Is Joe Hockey ready for what’s coming in the iron ore market? There are two questions of vital national interest building to a head, both pertaining to iron ore market structure: the parallel fates of Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) and Rio Tinto (RIO) which together represent some 475 million tonnes of seaborne iron ore production, roughly 30% of


Malcolm Fraser dies

Real end of an era stuff today with Malcolm Fraser following Gough Whitlam to the grave. Loon ponders usually consider Malcolm Fraser to have run a weak Liberal government but he was progressive, staunchly anti-communist in the context of the Cold War and since retirement an effective conscience for a party that has lost its


AAA wanker gets his comeuppance

From the AFR: Prime Minister Tony Abbott this week dumped the last remnants of tough rhetoric about budget savings, and instead promised voters they did not have to be alarmed about this year’s “dull” budget “because we have got the budget situation from out of control to manageable”. The budget papers show that, even before


The Australian throne is empty

What a performance we’ve seen this week from the Australian elite. Every one of them has gotten up, outlined the problems, and pointed the finger at someone else. Let’s take a quick inventory: RBA’s Phil Lowe speaks and tells the nation that it the RBA can’t fix the economy, pointing the finger at Joe Hockey; RBA’s


The Coalition’s week of self-inflicted wounds

Cross-posted from The Conversation: The Abbott government has followed one step forward by a couple back. After an improved performance became the media story of last week, it’s been slipping and sliding all over the place. Tony Abbott had another bad word day. Treasurer Joe Hockey sat awkwardly aboard a hobby horse. Industry Minister Ian


The Abbottalypse returns

From The Australian: TONY Abbott has lifted his ­approval rating to a three-month high… The latest Newspoll…marks 18 months since the Coalition won power and shows if an election was called today Labor would start as clear favourite to return to ­office with a commanding two-party lead of 55 per cent to 45 per cent. Labor


The Abbottalypse rolls over climate skeptics

Where’s Maurice Newman when you need him? From the SMH comes sudden progress on the Renewable Energy Target: It has been more than 12 months since the Abbott government launched a review of the bipartisan target, which calls for 41,000 gigawatt hours of annual renewable energy production by 2020. Environment Minister Greg Hunt has resumed talks


Hopeless for Tony

From Laura Tingle: National security. The way things are going in Canberra these days, it feels so, well, Monday. The Prime Minister’s statement on national security – that old reliable issue for conservative prime ministers in trouble –seemed but like a distant memory by Thursday. …The government’s shoddy attempts to end Professor Gillian Triggs job


Turnbull backs Abbott enemies

From The Australian: The Communications Minister today refused to “buy into” outrage at the Human Rights Commission president, who has lost the government’s confidence amid alleged political bias. …“Obviously this has become a very controversial issue and there are all sorts of allegations flying around. I don’t want to get involved in that,” he said


Tony’s dead cat bounce continues

From Roy Morgan:   ALP support was 56% (down 1.5%) and well ahead of the L-NP 44% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.  If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win easily according to this week’s Morgan Poll on voting intention conducted over the last two weekends, February 14/15 & 21/22,


Abbott under fire at today’s Liberal Party meeting

By Leith van Onselen From The Canberra Times: Prime Minister Tony Abbott faced a “cavalcade of complaints” in Tuesday’s Liberal party room meeting, including repeated questioning from WA MP Don Randall about why former chief government whip Philip Ruddock was axed. Mr Abbott was also confronted by South Australian MPs Andrew Southcott and Rowan Ramsey


Libs rally out of The Abbottalypse

From The Australian: …the latest Newspoll survey reveals the government remains well behind Labor, only one-third of people believe the Prime Minister is in touch with voters and 77 per cent consider him arrogant. While Mr Abbott has been ­savaged by leaks and a motion from his own partyroom earlier this month to remove him as


Howard mystified by Dr No

From The Australian, at some dinner party for the hoi poloi: While insisting that he was a firm Abbott supporter, Howard said he was mystified Abbott hadn’t managed the transition to government better and hadn’t successfully changed his mindset to adapt to the prime ministership. Again, while reiterating that he firmly supported Abbott, Howard accepted


Abbottalypse detonates under swing voters

From the AFR: Last week’s internal push to remove Tony Abbott as Prime Minister has “blown apart” the Liberal Party’s central proposition that it alone offered stable and responsible government, new research has concluded. Focus group research conducted by seasoned pollster Tony Mitchelmore, a veteran of nine state and federal election campaigns, finds swing voters