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Don’t hold gold during VaR shocks. Tattoo it on your forehead.
Gold does poorly during VaR shocks that squeeze liquidity out of the market. This is especially true when the shock is triggered by rising interest rates, a double-barreled shotgun blast to the gold bull case.
I am a secular gold bull for the same reason many others are. Société Générale.
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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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