Australian economy continues to lose momentum
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This month’s national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the economy is sliding back into a per capita recession, with real per capita GDP declining by 0.1% in the March quarter – the 10th decline in 15 quarters since the Albanese government came to office:

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute leading index has been released, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future.
The six-month annualised growth rate remained weak at –0.17% in May, suggesting slugging momentum into the second half of 2026:
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About the author

Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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