RBA sets Australia up for GFC 2.0

Advertisement

Author Mark Twain once famously said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes”.

We are witnessing such an event following the RBA’s back-to-back interest rate hikes, which have taken the official cash rate to 4.10%.

The interest rate futures market has also priced two additional rate hikes for 2026, which would take the official cash rate to 4.60% by year’s end:

RBA official cash rate
Advertisement

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.