New Zealand’s housing crash restores affordability

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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has reduced the official cash rate (OCR) by 3.25% since mid-2024, which has driven a sharp decline in mortgage rates to around pre-pandemic levels and a significant improvement in mortgage affordability:

NZ mortgage rates

Chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro

Normally, such a sharp reduction in mortgage rates would deliver a strong rebound in home values. However, no such rebound has eventuated.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.