Another day, another One Nation triumph

Wednesday 4 February 2026

The most recent Roy Morgan Poll reflects the ongoing turmoil among the opposition parties.

With 30.5% of the vote still going to the ALP, One Nation is up 2.5% to 25% ahead of the Liberals, the Greens are down 2% to 18%, and 14% of voters back Independents and Other Parties, including 2.5% who favour the Nationals.

This week, the ALP lead on a two-party preferred basis barely changed at 56% (down).

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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.