NAB survey wipes out rate cuts

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The December NAB survey has wiped out rate cuts for the time being.

  • Business conditions increased to +9.
  • Business confidence increased slightly to +3.
  • Employment remained stable at 4, which is roughly around the breakeven rate for unemployment.
  • At 83.2%, capacity utilisation is still high.

Sales, which increased by three points to a historically high +16, were a major factor in the upswing and contributed to more general evidence of a rebound in consumer demand.

Profitability also improved, with the profits index rising three points to +7, while employment held steady at +4.

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Price pressures increased but only slightly. They are far from alarming.

A decent report but not a smoking gun for a February rate hike.

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Cuts are off the table for now.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.