Australian dollar blows roof off in perfect strom

Advertisement

DXY slumped post-Greenland deal. The Davos speech of the American madman was an obnoxious mess about “Iceland”. Hard to see how DXY can flourish as POTUS loses his mind.

AUD had a multi-sigma day to remember after the strong jobs numbers.

Advertisement

Without CNY help.

But with gold’s help. No Greenland dump for gold. This is indicative of blowoff dynamics.

Advertisement

Metals meh.

Miners meh.

EM moonshot.

Advertisement

Junk meh.

Yields meh.

Stocks more constructive.

Advertisement

On a day in which gold ripped, POTUS tripped, and jobs flipped, AUD melted up to my target.

At this stage, I am more tempted to raise it than turn tail.

Gold is falling much faster than iron ore, and the global cycle appears to be turning towards stronger growth.

Advertisement

DXY has become a proxy for the fading mind of an American madman, and that is not going to get better.

The US dollar smile is nowhere yet in sight as yields begin to turn, either.

It looks like AUD is going higher, through 70 cents, and more.

Advertisement
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.