Australia will remain a world-outlier on mass migration

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By Stephen Saunders:

On its triennial immigration stats, Albanese Australia is a radical outlier not the cautious reformer of embedded media narratives. Not even Bondi can budge him.

The Labor-Liberal duopoly has made the concept of Big Australia central to its economic policy. After COVID froze mass migration, Morrison and Albanese rushed it back, bigger than ever.

Net migration

The longer it continues, the more dissent is decried. When citizens protested in the streets, the government smeared them as “neo nazi” dupes. The government is the dupe, greenlighting large 21st-century increases in low-skill, poor-fit immigration.

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According to Australian National University (ANU) propaganda and a sensitive Liberal Senator, “mass migration” is incorrect speech. But voters don’t buy this media panic of Liberals veering far-right. The long-running Australian Election Study voter poll perceives a nudge left.

It’s even suggested so-called “moderate” Liberals merge with Teals. Yeah, right, just to make the government and opposition more resistant than ever to the voter majority that craves relief from the immigration/housing crunch.

In this new Resolve poll, two out of three voters want immigration paused for housing to catch up. The government itself implies such citizens are “racist” or “un-Australian”.

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Our 2024-25 net migration tally was released. It’s still huge at 306,000. And yet, less than 24 hours after so-called Islamic lions wreaked sectarian slaughter, Albo already had a press gallery waiver to sidestep the mass migration.

Quarantining his immigration overreach, Albo’s up-regulating on antisemitism and guns. Largely, politicians and “stakeholders” welcome this selective framing.

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Australia is radical on immigration and net zero 

ABC Boyer Lecturer Justin Wolfers applauds Australia’s amazing institutions. Yeah, but they’re running the UN line at us on population and climate policy.

If I even utter the word “immigration”—that’s racist. Linking mass migration and net-zero—not allowed. Turning the other cheek, may I respond with a mild geography table:

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One thing leaps out. How tawdry the elite and ANU snow-job, that Australia’s 21st-century immigration profile is “normal”.

Comparing with Australia’s own recent history, or world powers, or peer nations, our evolved and present immigration rates are bonkers, off the charts.

Australian population growth

China, India, Japan are nearly all native-born, with low rates of in-migration and population growth. Modi’s India, ask Arundhati Roy, can scarcely avoid sectarian violence. There’s some in Australia’s history, but we didn’t have to import this ghastly escalation.

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How can a non-allegiant Indian student-migrant have a visa for 27 years, whilst adding a dangerous son with ASIO form, legally own multiple firearms, and then attend Philippines militancy training? Talk about having a lend.

Even under Biden, the US population growth never quite topped 1%, and now it’s crashed. In the EU, it’s less than 0.5%. The US, if not California, has ditched net zero. The UK, Canada, NZ, have sharply reversed mass migration.

These nations have isolated Albo, whose radical immigration adds more than 1% annually to our population, dwarfing the local increase.

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The Albo Triennium averaged 424,000 net migration annually, or 1,162 net migrants per day, over its first three years, thrashing Kevin Rudd’s 270,000. However, Tony Burke and Abul Rizvi claim that immigration has decreased by 40%. Yet it is still tracking over 300,000, adjudges the same Rizvi. That’s a huge uptick, 3–4 times the 1945–2005 average.

Rather than Denmark, Germany is the European case study for us to heed. Here’s an industrial powerhouse, with ideological overreaches on immigration and green energy policies. Having shuttered nuclear and coal-fired energy, their energy transition was jolted by the Ukraine war stifling Russian gas supplies.

While no advanced nation matches Australia’s reckless 45% population growth since 2000, Germany (also UK) still has headlong renewables/emissions targets like ours.

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Aussies seem to love those renewables. But penetration past 40% associates with higher, not lower, electricity prices.

As the Asian coal powers pay lip service to net zero, Australia attempts radical renewables transition and emissions reduction. In the Treasury cult, our deindustrialised nation can leapfrog to “energy superpower” in a “post carbon” world.

Coal consumption
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Here’s Australia’s chief Energy Market Operator, claiming that the “least cost” pathway to 2050 is renewables “firmed with storage, backed up by gas and connected with upgraded networks”. But he also indicates doubling our energy consumption, tripling grid capacity, and expanding wind/solar/storage fivefold.

The driest continent’s energy plan seems to mirror the population plan. It’s Treasury rules—unsustainable expansion, saddling voters with lavish costs to Budget, high environmental impacts, and collapsing productivity.

The “left” demands that the Liberals accept Labor’s mandates and follow climate “science”. But net zero isn’t science and wasn’t even contested at the 2025 election. Support for it is broad but shallow, and it seems voters would sooner have affordable energy.

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Australia’s selfish politicians mock the social contract

US sociologist Musa al-Gharbi toured here this year. He reminded us how the US (other nations) top 20% are more in it for themselves (and the top 1%) than for altruism and equality.

Here, our “fair go” extends to Minister Anika Wells doing Marie Antoinette and other Labor Ministers doing ABC-TV to make sport of struggling voters.

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After decades of political inbreeding, aka party preselection, only a handful of our 227 federal reps openly align with the popular will for substantially reducing immigration to relieve housing pain (and societal fracture).

When Senator Hanson tried once again for a population plebiscite, much milder than Switzerland contemplates, entitled senators did victory laps at her (our) expense.

For the duopoly, housing’s is a “wicked” supply problem. It took many years to develop and will take many more to solve. It’s so sad.

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Yet NZ and Canada quickly charted improved rental/housing affordability by not treating immigration as a “wicked” problem. Here too, Victoria has improved affordability, by slashing investment-housing tax breaks.

With more international students per capita than anywhere, Albo’s sweetheart immigration deals with Modi, Burke’s 70 different visa classes, and Home Affairs’ studied neglect of visa regulation and policing, Australia tops 300,000 net migration before you can blink. Gee, if only we had a central government…

Nannied off social media, Australian teens will need the Bank of Mum & Dad to afford a home, or a life mortgage more likely. Dwelling prices are 10x median household incomes in Sydney, 6-7x in other capitals. In 2026, housing looks to become even less affordable.

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Dwelling price to income ratio

Our landlord-class MHRs and senators wouldn’t care to bust the racket. Even after Bondi, they re-endorse mass migration.

They’re inviting more discord and violence. More voters (politicians) will shift to much-vilified Hanson-Joyce, whose party urges immigration regulation and low migration.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.