The end of the government-funded jobs boom?

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Australia’s unemployment rate is currently tracking at a historically low 4.3% and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest Statement of Monetary Policy forecasts that it will remain at around its current level until the end of 2027.

RBA unemployment forecast

The primary reason why Australia’s unemployment rate is so low is because government spending has driven a record boom in non-market sector jobs, which are primarily funded by governments.

The non-market sector includes the traditional private sector, as well as education, health, and social assistance.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.