Aussies cash in on house price boom

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This week, Cotality released data, based on around 97,000 resales, showing that 94.8% of sellers made a nominal profit across Australia in Q2 2025. The median profit on sale also hit a record high of $315,000, up from $305,000 in the previous quarter.

Profit-making sales

Source: Cotality

New South Wales, which is home to the nation’s most expensive homes, accounted for six of the top ten most profitable Local Government Areas (LGAs) in the country by median gains in Q2.

Biggest median gain - Q2 2025

Source: Cotality

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Brisbane was the most profitable of the capital cities in Q2 2025, with 99.7% of resales making a nominal gain. Brisbane sellers also saw the highest median nominal gain of $400,000.

Pain vs gain

Source: Cotality

By contrast, Melbourne had the highest share of loss-making sales (4.2%) among the major capitals, reflecting its relatively sluggish dwelling value growth since the onset of the pandemic.

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Major dwelling values

Cotality’s daily dwelling values index shows that capital city homes are appreciating at their fastest rate since March 2024.

Corality change
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Final auction clearance rates across the combined capital cities are also tracking at their highest level since June 2023.

Final auction clearance rates

Meanwhile, Australians have turned increasingly bullish on housing, with Westpac’s latest consumer sentiment survey showing that house price expectations are tracking at a 15-year high.

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House price expectations

Westpac’s ‘time to buy a dwelling index’ has also rebounded strongly from its cyclical low:

Time to buy a dwelling
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Australians are right to feel bullish, as interest rate cuts are typically associated with double-digit growth in dwelling values.

Dwelling prices in rate cutting cycles

The imminent introduction of the Albanese government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, which comes into effect at the beginning of October, will also stimulate demand by lowering the deposit gap and increasing borrowing capacity.

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Australian housing, which is already valued at more than four times the economy, is about to become even pricier.

Housing stock to GDP

Inflating home values even further risks a larger correction down the track, similar to what has transpired in New Zealand and Canada.

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Global house prices

However, that is a problem for late 2026 or 2027.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.