How much inflation follows tariffs?

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Goldman with the note.


Price data through May provide preliminary evidence on how tariff costs are being divided among foreign exporters, US businesses, and US consumers.

Foreign exporters might absorb some of the costs by lowering their export prices to the US, which would show up as lower US import prices.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.