Australian dollar abandons Europe

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DXY is stable, but the EUR is in a hurry.

AUD is not.

CNY plods on.

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OPEC boosted big over the weekend. Oil is to suffer.

Metals flamed out.

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Miners meh.

EM is looking a bit like its old self.

Junk meh.

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US markets were shut for Independence Day, but the falling dollar is starting to generate some perverse effects for Europe.

Earnings are suffering versus the US. This has already hit European equities and helped lift US.

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How long before the same starts to happen in FX? Trump will have a say.

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Renewed tariffs, sacking Fed Chair Powell etc, would all give macro risk a boost and the EUR another leg up.

AUD will follow, but the pressures of a reversal are already building.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.